- Better than inner Sydney for scale; worse than Liddell for stranded generation adjacency.
- 500 MW sits above the 5-year scenario (100–400 MW) and would need the 10-year path.
- Zero municipal water: River/port adjacent. Extraction licences are not evidenced.
- Missing — Land area not verified.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
Opportunity radar
Find the next Liddell
Stranded industrial infrastructure becoming compute infrastructure. The scenario tool searches the seed and explains fit or failure. Opportunity Agent is defined, not live.
Mousterian AustraliaNorthern AustraliaRetired power stationsWaterfront compute1 GW+ projectsProjects without verified powerAustralian AI infrastructureSovereign compute
Build 500 MW — then change the numbers
Liddell / Muswellbrook — Hunter Energy Hub
Conditional- Fail — Likely energisation in the seed is 2032, after the 2031 target.
- The textbook energy-seeking training site — if and only if MW is actually connectable.
- A 500 MW block is inside the seeded 5-year paper range — still not a grid offer.
- Zero municipal water: Lake Liddell remains a key water asset for Bayswater. Surplus for a campus is not verified.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
- Fail — Likely energisation in the seed is 2035, after the 2031 target.
- Energy-seeking training is the Lansdown proposition A — gated by actual MW and fibre, not land.
- 500 MW sits above the 5-year scenario (50–250 MW) and would need the 10-year path.
- Zero municipal water: Raw water pipeline from Ross Dam is in design — proposed, not operating. Not municipal potable by description.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
Darwin / Weddell industrial area
Conditional- Fail — Likely energisation in the seed is 2035, after the 2031 target.
- Energy-seeking training is the stated product. Gas/solar/BESS is the architecture. Approvals and FID are the gates.
- A 500 MW block is inside the seeded 5-year paper range — still not a grid offer.
- Zero municipal water: Not verified for GW-scale evaporative plant. Do not assume it.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
- Colocation with industrial energy is the hypothesis. Surplus MW is not shown.
- 500 MW sits above the 5-year scenario (50–250 MW) and would need the 10-year path.
- Zero municipal water: Pilbara water is contested industrial water. Do not assume municipal or evaporative supply.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
- Fail — AI training / HPC is a poor fit: Training-scale MW is not evidenced and metro land/community constraints argue against a 500 MW+ campus.
- Fail — Seeded 10-year scenario tops out around 250 MW. 500 MW is above that paper range.
- Zero municipal water: Municipal water should not be assumed for a high-density campus.
- Missing — Land area not verified.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
- Fail — AI training / HPC is a poor fit: Training-scale MW and community/airport constraints are a poor match.
- Fail — Seeded 10-year scenario tops out around 250 MW. 500 MW is above that paper range.
- Zero municipal water: Do not assume municipal water for cooling.
- Missing — Land area not verified.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
- Fail — Seeded 10-year scenario tops out around 400 MW. 500 MW is above that paper range.
- Fail — Even the earliest plausible year (2032) is after 2031.
- Energy exists in the region. Surplus for training is not shown.
- Zero municipal water: Contested. Not verified.
- Missing — Land area not verified.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
- Fail — AI training / HPC is a poor fit: Not on current committed infrastructure.
- Fail — Seeded 10-year scenario tops out around 200 MW. 500 MW is above that paper range.
- Fail — Even the earliest plausible year (2035) is after 2031.
- Zero municipal water: Contested mining water.
- Missing — Land area not verified.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.
- Fail — AI training / HPC is a poor fit: Do not automatically treat Cairns as hyperscale.
- Fail — Seeded 10-year scenario tops out around 50 MW. 500 MW is above that paper range.
- Zero municipal water: Wet tropics ≠ a cooling-water licence.
- Missing — Land area not verified.
- Missing — Independent fibre routes to the pad are not surveyed.
- Missing — A 90% renewable target is a PPA/generation design, not a seeded site attribute. Nearby REZ is not a contracted mix.